This paper aims to develop optional semimartingale methods in risk theory to allow for a larger class of risk models. Optional semimartingales are left-continuous with right-limit stochastic processes defined on a probability space where the usual conditions - completeness and right-continuity...

This paper presents an innovative approach to financial market modelling by integrating fuzzy discount factors into the decision-making process, thereby reflecting the complexities of human behaviour. Traditional financial models often fail to account for market dynamics' psychological factors....

The profitable exploitation of asset portfolios in the European electricity markets has become more challenging in recent years. This is particularly true for combined heat and power (CHP) generation units that are often facing must-run conditions due to heat demands that need to be satisfied....

The paper introduces a new type of shrinkage estimation that is not based on asymptotic optimality but uses artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to shrink the sample eigenvalues. The proposed AI Shrinkage estimator applies to both linear and nonlinear shrinkage, demonstrating improved...

We develop a novel stress testing framework to quantify the risks to the German banking sector from the green transition. Our methodology combines a macro-level and a micro-level approach to calculate scenario-dependent probabilities of default and losses. The macro approach leverages...