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ARCH model 1 ARCH-Modell 1 Capital income 1 Commodity derivative 1 Erdöl 1 Estimation 1 Forecasting model 1 Hedging 1 Kapitaleinkommen 1 Model switching 1 Momentum of jumps 1 Oil futures market 1 Oil market 1 Oil price 1 Option pricing theory 1 Optionspreistheorie 1 Petroleum 1 Portfolio exercise 1 Portfolio selection 1 Portfolio-Management 1 Prognoseverfahren 1 Rohstoffderivat 1 Schätzung 1 Stochastic process 1 Stochastischer Prozess 1 Volatility 1 Volatility forecasting 1 Volatilität 1 Welt 1 World 1 Ölmarkt 1 Ölpreis 1
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English 1
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Ma, Feng 1 Wang, Yudong 1 Wei, Yu 1 Zhang, Yaojie 1
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Financial innovation : FIN 1
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To jump or not to jump : momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction
Zhang, Yaojie; Wang, Yudong; Ma, Feng; Wei, Yu - In: Financial innovation : FIN 8 (2022), pp. 1-31
A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil...
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