Koijen, Ralph S.J.; Nieuwerburgh, Stijn Van - In: Annual Review of Financial Economics 3 (2011) 1, pp. 467-491
We review the literature on return and cash-flow growth predictability from the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries.