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  • Search: subject:"Presidential Election Polling"
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Bayesian Estimation 1 Electoral College 1 Presidential Election Polling 1 Probability Models 1
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Free 1
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Book / Working Paper 1
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Barnett, Arnold I. 1 Kaplan, Edward H. 1
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School of Management, Yale University 1
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Yale School of Management Working Papers 1
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A New Approach to Estimating the Probability of Winning the Presidency
Kaplan, Edward H.; Barnett, Arnold I. - School of Management, Yale University - 2001
As the 2000 election so vividly showed, it is Electoral College standings rather than national popular votes that determine who becomes President. But current pre-election polls focus almost exclusively on the popular vote. Here we present a method by which pollsters can achieve both point...
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