Search Results - subject:"Probabilistic forecast" - EconBiz

Probabilistic forecast-based procurement in seaborne forward freight markets under demand and price uncertainty

Sel, Burakhan; Minner, Stefan - In: Transportation research : an international journal 193 (2025), pp. 1-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015443428

Using point forecasts to anchor probabilistic survey scales

Becker, Christoph; Dürsch, Peter; Eife, Thomas A.; … - 2024

We present the results of an experiment where a random subset of the participants in the Bundesbank's household panel receive personalized response scales, centered at each participant's point forecast. Personalized response scales offer two advantages over the standard scale which is centered...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481221

Using point forecasts to anchor probabilistic survey scales

Becker, Christoph; Dürsch, Peter; Eife, Thomas A.; … - 2024

We present the results of an experiment where a random subset of the participants in the Bundesbank's household panel receive personalized response scales, centered at each participant's point forecast. Personalized response scales offer two advantages over the standard scale which is centered...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494993

Modeling multivariate intraday forecast update processes for wind power

Kolkmann, Sven; Ostmeier, Lars; Weber, Christoph - In: Energy economics 139 (2024), pp. 1-9

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015532993

Proper scoring rules for evaluating density forecasts with asymmetric loss functions

Iacopini, Matteo; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Rossini, Luca - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 41 (2023) 2, pp. 482-496

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448252

Fair skill brier score : evaluating probabilistic forecasts of one-off events with different numbers of categorical outcomes

Wang, Junnan; Mellers, Barbara A.; Ungar, Lyle H.; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364753

Uncertainty in population forecasts for the twenty-first century

Keilman, Nico - In: Annual review of resource economics 12 (2020), pp. 449-470

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404920

Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting

Iacopini, Matteo; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Rossini, Luca - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437475

Electricity demand forecasting and risk management using Gaussian process model with error propagation

Wen, Kuangyu; Wu, Wenbin; Wu, Ximing - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 4, pp. 957-969

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292889

From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts : the Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting

Grothe, Oliver; Kächele, Fabian; Krüger, Fabian - In: Energy economics 120 (2023), pp. 1-13

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283270

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