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  • Search: subject:"Probabilities"
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Year of publication
Subject
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probabilities 205 Theorie 177 Theory 166 probability 157 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 155 Probability theory 154 equation 140 statistics 129 correlation 118 Economic models 102 equations 100 Risk 90 standard deviation 89 Risiko 87 transition probabilities 84 time series 78 statistic 74 survey 73 correlations 72 econometrics 69 Credit risk 68 Markov chain 65 covariance 65 samples 62 prediction 59 standard deviations 59 Markov-Kette 58 normal distribution 57 Decision under uncertainty 55 Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit 55 Schätzung 55 forecasting 55 standard errors 55 predictions 54 Estimation 50 subjective probabilities 48 probability distribution 45 calibration 43 autocorrelation 42 Transition probabilities 41
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Online availability
All
Free 687 Undetermined 411 CC license 14
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 630 Article 602 Other 6
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 282 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 282 Working Paper 194 Graue Literatur 104 Non-commercial literature 104 Arbeitspapier 103 Article 26 research-article 8 Thesis 5 review-article 3 Aufsatz im Buch 2 Book section 2 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Conference paper 2 Konferenzbeitrag 2 Sammelwerk 2 Collection of articles written by one author 1 Conference Paper 1 Congress Report 1 Festschrift 1 Hochschulschrift 1 Research Report 1 Sammlung 1
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Language
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English 745 Undetermined 473 Spanish 8 German 4 French 3 Portuguese 2 Czech 1 Hungarian 1 Romanian 1
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Author
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Karni, Edi 14 Bissonnette, Luc 13 Denton, Frank T. 13 Spencer, Byron G. 13 Hinloopen, Jeroen 11 Thibault, Emmanuel 11 Chan-Lau, Jorge A. 9 Fiaschi, Davide 8 Macchiarelli, Corrado 8 Michaud, Pierre-Carl 8 Tealdi, Cristina 8 Attanasi, Giuseppe 7 Tsangarides, Charalambos G. 7 Arulampalam, Wiji 6 Giraud, Raphaël 6 Haase, Felix 6 Hubrich, Kirstin 6 Hurd, Michael D. 6 Naylor, Robin A. 6 Ridder, Ad 6 Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie 6 Basurto, Miguel A. Segoviano 5 Baumeister, Christiane 5 D'Albis, Hippolyte 5 Espinoza, Raphael A. 5 Frederiksen, Anders 5 Soest, Arthur van 5 Soques, Daniel 5 Staub, Kevin E. 5 Weber, Martin 5 Albis, Hippolyte d’ 4 Arcidiacono, Peter 4 Barry, Peter J. 4 Berger, Arno 4 Blunch, Niels-Hugo 4 Bosetti, Valentina 4 Escalante, Cesar L. 4 Foster, Gigi 4 Fountain, John 4 Frijters, Paul 4
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Institution
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International Monetary Fund (IMF) 176 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 16 HAL 14 International Monetary Fund 13 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley 8 Tinbergen Institute 7 Tinbergen Instituut 7 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 7 Department of Economics, McMaster University 6 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 5 International Actuarial Association / Actuarial Studies in Non-Life Insurance 5 Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 5 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 4 EconWPA 4 London School of Economics (LSE) 4 Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations (CIRANO) 3 Econometric Society 3 Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge 3 University of Bonn, Germany 3 Université Paris-Dauphine (Paris IX) 3 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA 2 BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA 2 Banco de España 2 Banco de la Republica de Colombia 2 CESifo 2 Centre Interuniversitaire sur le Risque, les Politiques Économiques et l'Emploi (CIRPÉE) 2 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 2 Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques 2 Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash Business School 2 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 2 Department of Economics, Oxford University 2 Department of Economics, University of Warwick 2 Dipartimento di Politica Economica, Finanza e Sviluppo (DEPFID), Facoltà di Economia "Richard M. Goodwin" 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Torino 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche "Paolo Fortunati", Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna 2 Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 2 European Central Bank 2 Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 2 Finance Discipline Group, Business School 2 Finance Research Centre, Oxford University 2
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Published in...
All
IMF Working Papers 165 IZA Discussion Papers 37 Management Science 15 Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 15 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14 Discussion paper series / IZA 12 Statistics & Probability Letters 12 Insurance / Mathematics & economics 11 Theory and Decision 10 Casualty Actuarial Society - Publications 9 Economic Theory 9 IMF Staff Country Reports 9 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 9 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 8 Post-Print / HAL 8 TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research 8 Theory and decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision science 8 Working Paper 8 Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7 Scandinavian actuarial journal 7 Computational Statistics 6 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 6 MPRA Paper 6 Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 5 CEPR Discussion Papers 5 CESifo Working Paper 5 Cahiers de recherche 5 Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 5 Finance and Stochastics 5 Journal of econometrics 5 Journal of economic theory 5 Natural Hazards 5 SFB 649 Discussion Paper 5 SFB 649 Discussion Papers 5 Stata Journal 5 Agricultural Finance Review 4 Astin bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association 4 CESifo working papers 4 CUDARE Working Paper Series 4 Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series 4
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Source
All
RePEc 665 ECONIS (ZBW) 394 EconStor 119 BASE 26 Other ZBW resources 14 USB Cologne (business full texts) 13 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 7
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Showing 491 - 500 of 1,238
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A new framework to estimate the near-term path of the fed funds rate
Bullard, Sam; Iqbal, Azhar; Silvia, John E. - In: Business economics : the journal of the National … 51 (2016) 4, pp. 239-247
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011724580
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Is predicting recessions enough?
Iqbal, Azhar; Silvia, John E. - In: Business economics : the journal of the National … 51 (2016) 4, pp. 248-259
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011724581
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A complexity based model for quantifying forensic evidential probabilities
Overill, RE; Silomon, JAM; Chow, KP - 2010
An operational complexity model (OCM) is proposed to enable the complexity of both the cognitive and the computational components of a process to be determined. From the complexity of formation of a set of traces via a specified route a measure of the probability of that route can be determined....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471480
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Learning machines supporting bankruptcy prediction
Härdle, Wolfgang Karl; Moro, Rouslan A.; Hoffmann, Linda - 2010
In many economic applications it is desirable to make future predictions about the financial status of a company. The focus of predictions is mainly if a company will default or not. A support vector machine (SVM) is one learning method which uses historical data to establish a classification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275893
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Monte-Carlo Simulation und Due Diligence: Ein methodischer Ansatz zur computergestützten Aggregierung von Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen aus Expertenbefragungen
Klein, Martin - 2010
The combination of experts' probability distributions involved in a due diligence is valuable for encapsulating the accumulated information for decision makers and providing the current state of expert opinion regarding important uncertainties. Therefore, this paper shows how to create and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300365
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Finite-State Markov Chains obey Benford's Law
Kaynar, Bahar; Berger, Arno; Hill, Theodore P.; Ridder, Ad - 2010
A sequence of real numbers (xn) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fractionparts in the floating-point representation of (xn), are distributed logarithmically.Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov chain withprobability transition matrix P and limiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325878
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Indicators of real convergence and their application
Pecican, Eugen Stefan - 2010
Measurable aspects of the economic convergence of EU countries form the main topic of this paper. For this purpose, statistical and econometric methods are presented and applied for revealing characteristic elements of such a process. A first group of methods refers mainly to aspects such as:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527410
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VIABILIDADE FINANCEIRA E RISCOS ASSOCIADOS À INTEGRAÇÃO LAVOURA-PECUÁRIA NO ESTADO DO PARANÁ
Lazzarotto, Joelsio Jose; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos; … - 2010
The Brazilian agricultural sector is characterized by a great diversity of production systems subject to a wide number of risk factors.These risks cannot be completely eliminated, but they can be minimized by the adoption of some strategies, such as diversificationof agricultural and livestock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446954
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Default Risk in Stochastic Volatility Models
Gersbach, Hans; Surulescu, Nicolae - 2010
probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm’s credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility … model predicts lower probabilities of default. The results may have implications for various financial applications. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753195
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Labour market flows: Facts from the United Kingdom
Gomes, Pedro - 2010
2010. Using Labour Force Survey data, I examine the size and cyclicality of the flows and transition probabilities between … employment, unemployment and inactivity, from several angles. I examine aggregate conditional transition probabilities, job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278410
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