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  • Search: subject:"Probabilities"
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Year of publication
Subject
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probabilities 205 Theorie 177 Theory 166 probability 157 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 155 Probability theory 154 equation 140 statistics 129 correlation 118 Economic models 102 equations 100 Risk 90 standard deviation 89 Risiko 87 transition probabilities 84 time series 78 statistic 74 survey 73 correlations 72 econometrics 69 Credit risk 68 Markov chain 65 covariance 65 samples 62 prediction 59 standard deviations 59 Markov-Kette 58 normal distribution 57 Decision under uncertainty 55 Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit 55 Schätzung 55 forecasting 55 standard errors 55 predictions 54 Estimation 50 subjective probabilities 48 probability distribution 45 calibration 43 autocorrelation 42 Transition probabilities 41
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Online availability
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Free 687 Undetermined 411 CC license 14
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 630 Article 602 Other 6
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 282 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 282 Working Paper 194 Graue Literatur 104 Non-commercial literature 104 Arbeitspapier 103 Article 26 research-article 8 Thesis 5 review-article 3 Aufsatz im Buch 2 Book section 2 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Conference paper 2 Konferenzbeitrag 2 Sammelwerk 2 Collection of articles written by one author 1 Conference Paper 1 Congress Report 1 Festschrift 1 Hochschulschrift 1 Research Report 1 Sammlung 1
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Language
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English 745 Undetermined 473 Spanish 8 German 4 French 3 Portuguese 2 Czech 1 Hungarian 1 Romanian 1
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Author
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Karni, Edi 14 Bissonnette, Luc 13 Denton, Frank T. 13 Spencer, Byron G. 13 Hinloopen, Jeroen 11 Thibault, Emmanuel 11 Chan-Lau, Jorge A. 9 Fiaschi, Davide 8 Macchiarelli, Corrado 8 Michaud, Pierre-Carl 8 Tealdi, Cristina 8 Attanasi, Giuseppe 7 Tsangarides, Charalambos G. 7 Arulampalam, Wiji 6 Giraud, Raphaël 6 Haase, Felix 6 Hubrich, Kirstin 6 Hurd, Michael D. 6 Naylor, Robin A. 6 Ridder, Ad 6 Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie 6 Basurto, Miguel A. Segoviano 5 Baumeister, Christiane 5 D'Albis, Hippolyte 5 Espinoza, Raphael A. 5 Frederiksen, Anders 5 Soest, Arthur van 5 Soques, Daniel 5 Staub, Kevin E. 5 Weber, Martin 5 Albis, Hippolyte d’ 4 Arcidiacono, Peter 4 Barry, Peter J. 4 Berger, Arno 4 Blunch, Niels-Hugo 4 Bosetti, Valentina 4 Escalante, Cesar L. 4 Foster, Gigi 4 Fountain, John 4 Frijters, Paul 4
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Institution
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International Monetary Fund (IMF) 176 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 16 HAL 14 International Monetary Fund 13 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley 8 Tinbergen Institute 7 Tinbergen Instituut 7 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 7 Department of Economics, McMaster University 6 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 5 International Actuarial Association / Actuarial Studies in Non-Life Insurance 5 Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 5 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 4 EconWPA 4 London School of Economics (LSE) 4 Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations (CIRANO) 3 Econometric Society 3 Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge 3 University of Bonn, Germany 3 Université Paris-Dauphine (Paris IX) 3 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA 2 BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA 2 Banco de España 2 Banco de la Republica de Colombia 2 CESifo 2 Centre Interuniversitaire sur le Risque, les Politiques Économiques et l'Emploi (CIRPÉE) 2 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 2 Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques 2 Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash Business School 2 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 2 Department of Economics, Oxford University 2 Department of Economics, University of Warwick 2 Dipartimento di Politica Economica, Finanza e Sviluppo (DEPFID), Facoltà di Economia "Richard M. Goodwin" 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Torino 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche "Paolo Fortunati", Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna 2 Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 2 European Central Bank 2 Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 2 Finance Discipline Group, Business School 2 Finance Research Centre, Oxford University 2
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Published in...
All
IMF Working Papers 165 IZA Discussion Papers 37 Management Science 15 Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 15 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14 Discussion paper series / IZA 12 Statistics & Probability Letters 12 Insurance / Mathematics & economics 11 Theory and Decision 10 Casualty Actuarial Society - Publications 9 Economic Theory 9 IMF Staff Country Reports 9 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 9 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 8 Post-Print / HAL 8 TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research 8 Theory and decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision science 8 Working Paper 8 Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7 Scandinavian actuarial journal 7 Computational Statistics 6 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 6 MPRA Paper 6 Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 5 CEPR Discussion Papers 5 CESifo Working Paper 5 Cahiers de recherche 5 Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 5 Finance and Stochastics 5 Journal of econometrics 5 Journal of economic theory 5 Natural Hazards 5 SFB 649 Discussion Paper 5 SFB 649 Discussion Papers 5 Stata Journal 5 Agricultural Finance Review 4 Astin bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association 4 CESifo working papers 4 CUDARE Working Paper Series 4 Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series 4
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Source
All
RePEc 665 ECONIS (ZBW) 394 EconStor 119 BASE 26 Other ZBW resources 14 USB Cologne (business full texts) 13 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 7
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Showing 661 - 670 of 1,238
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Forecasting cross-sections of frailty-correlated default
Koopman, Siem Jan; Lucas, André; Schwaab, Bernd - 2008
probabilities. The model captures the systematic variation in corporate default counts across e.g. rating and industry groups by … probabilities by about 10-35% in terms of Mean Absolute Error, particularly in years of default stress. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374412
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The Impact of Decentralized Data Entry on the Quality of Household Survey Data in Developing Countries : Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Vietnam
Glewwe, Paul; Dang, Hai-Anh Hoang - In: The World Bank Economic Review 22 (2008) 1, pp. 165-185
Computers were provided to randomly selected districts participating in a household survey in Vietnam to assess the impact on data quality of entering data within a day or two of completing the interview rather than several weeks later in the provincial capital. Provision of computers had no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015360565
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Transitions in Exchange Rate Regimes in the Aftermath of the Global Economic Crisis
Bird, Graham; Mandilaras, Alex - School of Economics, University of Surrey - 2014
probabilities and test their statistical significance. Even though there is some evidence of state dependence, in the sense that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141035
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On the Probability that Nothing Happens - II
Maccheroni, Carlo - Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e … - 2014
We analyze the probability that an isolated system (being a birth-cohort) remains unchanged along time, thus obtaining an experimental survival probability which perfectly matches with the theoretical results found in part I.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098331
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Tools for checking calibration of a Cox model in external validation: Approach based on individual event probabilities
Royston, Patrick - In: Stata Journal 14 (2014) 4, pp. 738-755
prediction, particularly of survival (or equivalently, failure or event) probabilities at any time after the time origin. We …, we suggest an approach to assessing calibration using individual event probabilities estimated at different time points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105659
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Individual Survival Curves Comparing Subjective and Observed Mortality Risks
Bissonnette, Luc; Hurd, Michael D.; Michaud, Pierre-Carl - Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les … - 2014
In this paper, we compare individual survival curves constructed from objective (actual mortality) and elicited subjective information (probability of survival to a given target age). We develop a methodology to estimate jointly subjective and objective individual- survival curves accounting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093878
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Multidimensional Deprivation in Contemporary Switzerland Across Social Groups and Time
Lucchini, Mario; Butti, Christine; Assi, Jenny; Spini, Dario - In: Sociological Research Online 19 (2014) 1, pp. 3-3
probabilities between year t and year t+1, we observed that the paths of mobility which catalyze the largest number of observations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822296
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Decision making with imprecise probabilities and utilities by means of statistical preference and stochastic dominance
Montes, Ignacio; Miranda, Enrique; Montes, Susana - In: European Journal of Operational Research 234 (2014) 1, pp. 209-220
A problem of decision making under uncertainty in which the choice must be made between two sets of alternatives instead of two single ones is considered. A number of choice rules are proposed and their main properties are investigated, focusing particularly on the generalizations of stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730172
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Discrete stochastic autoregressive volatility
Cordis, Adriana S.; Kirby, Chris - In: Journal of Banking & Finance 43 (2014) C, pp. 160-178
We use Markov chain methods to develop a flexible class of discrete stochastic autoregressive volatility (DSARV) models. Our approach to formulating the models is straightforward, and readily accommodates features such as volatility asymmetry and time-varying volatility persistence. Moreover, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010777121
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Optimal stop-loss reinsurance: a dependence analysis
Castañer, Anna; Claramunt, Mª Mercè - Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP) - 2014
The stop-loss reinsurance is one of the most important reinsurance contracts in the insurance market. From the insurer point of view, it presents an interesting property: it is optimal if the criterion of minimizing the variance of the cost of the insurer is used. The aim of the paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903520
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