This study revisits the widely used assumptions in long-term asset allocation: the normal distribution of long-horizon returns and the negligible impacts of estimation errors on the expected returns. This study uses the innovative simulation method of Fama and French (2018) for horizons of up to...

This study proposes two types of bivariate Poisson extended exponential distributions: the basic bivariate Poisson extended exponential distribution and the Sarmanov-based bivariate Poisson extended exponential distribution. The two bivariate Poisson extended exponential distributions are then...

In actuarial practice, the modeling of total losses tied to a certain policy is a nontrivial task due to complex distributional features. In the recent literature, the application of the Dirichlet process mixture for insurance loss has been proposed to eliminate the risk of model...

Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) is a method of combining predictive distributions based on agent opinion analysis theory, which encompasses many common approaches to combining density forecasts. The key ingredient in BPS is a synthesis function. This is typically specified parametrically as...

Inference on common parameters in panel data models with individual-specific fixed effects is a classic example of Neyman and Scott's (Econometrica 36:1-32, 1948) incidental parameter problem (IPP). One solution to this IPP is functional differencing (Bonhomme in Econometrica 80(4):1337-1385,...

This paper proposes a novel theory, coined as Topological Tail Dependence Theory, that links the mathematical theory behind Persistent Homology (PH) and the financial stock market theory. This study also proposes a novel algorithm to measure topological stock market changes as well as the...