We introduce heterogeneity in agents’ risk aversion into a general equilibrium asset pricing framework with recursive preferences. Agents trade in a stock, whose dividend is the only source of consumption, and in a short-term bond in zero net supply. In equilibrium the less risk averse agents...

Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) has recently been discussed in the financial literature as an effective way to account for model uncertainty. In this paper we compare BMA to a new model uncertainty framework introduced by Yang (2004), called Aggregate Forecasting Through Exponential Reweighting,...

In this paper we present a valuation model that combines features of both the structural and reduced-form approaches for modelling default risk. We maintain the cause and effect or 'structural' definition of default and assume that default is triggered when a state variable reaches a default...

This paper builds a multiperiod, general equilibrium framework for analyzing the macroeconomic effects of financial reforms in developing countries and the costs of maintaining official safety nets under the financial system during such reforms. While a financial liberalization yields efficiency...

Intercompany credit is a transmission channel for business failure risk. Trade bill payment incidents reveal the interdependent links between sectors and their contagion risk potential when large amounts are involved.