The equity premium follows a pronounced v-shape pattern around the beginning of recessions. It sharply drops into negative territory just before business cycle peaks and then strongly recovers as the recession unfolds. Recessions are preceded by an inverted yield curve. Thus probit models using...

In this paper the results of Radloff and Schwabe (Stat Papers 60:165–177, 2019) will be extended for a special class of symmetrical intensity functions. This includes binary response models with logit and probit link. To evaluate the position and the weights of the two non-degenerated orbits...

The success of climate change measures is highly dependent on household behaviour as one of the most important emission sources of carbon dioxide. Private heating, electricity consumption or private transport are important key levers to reduce households' impacts on climate change. The paper...