Florian Dorn erstellte diesen Beitrag während seines Promotionsstudiums an der Universität München (LMU). Die Studie wurde im September 2020 abgeschlossen und von der Fakultät für Volkswirtschaftslehre als Dissertation angenommen. Die Dissertation trägt zur Empirie der Ökonomie des...

This article proposes a new economic modeling theoretical framework known as multidimensional real-time economic modeling (MRTE-Modeling). The model is an important tool that economists and educators can use to demonstrate the multidimensional aspects of economic behavior. MRTE-Modeling...

This article proposes a new economic modeling theoretical framework known as multidimensional real-time economic modeling (MRTE-Modeling). The model is an important tool that economists and educators can use to demonstrate the multidimensional aspects of economic behavior. MRTE-Modeling...

Following Nyman (2010), the paper provides an indicator of resource utilisation (RU) for the Polish economy based on survey and labour market data. The indicator is subsequently used to identify output gap. Using real-time dataset, we find that output gap constructed in this way is revised to a...

Abstract The Great Recession in Germany was noticed only seven months after its onset. This study examines whether the available data could have helped to predict or identify the crisis in real time. After assessing the accuracy of previous recession forecasts, we examine that of forecasts...

This paper models industrial new orders across European Union (EU) Member States for various breakdowns. A common modelling framework exploits both soft data (business opinion surveys) and hard data (industrial turnover). The estimates show for about 200 cases that the model determinants...

This paper models industrial new orders across European Union (EU) Member States for various breakdowns. A common modelling framework exploits both soft data (business opinion surveys) and hard data (industrial turnover). The estimates show for about 200 cases that the model determinants...

Following the discontinuation of the official statistics on industrial new orders by Eurostat in mid-2012, this paper introduces the ECB indicator on euro area industrial new orders, which aims to fill the new statistical gaps for euro area total new orders as well as for various breakdowns....