We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

Euro area labour market variables are published with a considerable lag, longer than in the case of real GDP. We develop a suite of models to provide a more timely estimate (nowcast) of euro area quarterly employment growth based on a broad range of monthly indicators. The suite includes a batch...

Die Zeiten, in denen die amtliche Statistik ein Monopol auf statistische Fakten hatte, sind vorbei. Stattdessen wächst die Datenmenge durch die Digitalisierung exponentiell. Permanent entstehen neue Daten und neue Datenanbieter. Der Aufsatz zeigt die konkrete Antwort der amtlichen Statistik auf...

Since most macroeconomic data are revised after the initial release both researchers and policy-makers have no choice rather than recognising and understanding the revisions. This paper analyses revisions to the fiscal data in the euro area, also by contrasting them with the 'better-understood'...