Edge, Rochelle; Laubach, Thomas - Society for Computational Economics - SCE - 2004
general equilibrium model. We find that a simple updating rule based on an estimated Kalman filter model using real-time data … using real-time data
describes economists’ long-run productivity growth forecasts during these periods ex-
tremely well. We …, E32, D83, O40.
Keywords: DGE models, Kalman- lter, Real-time data, Learning, Productivity growth.
1 Introduction
An …