Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Scharth, Marcel - 2014 - This version: June 2014
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … volatility model, which incorporates the fact that realized volatility series are systematically more volatile in high volatility … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …