Starting in 2005 the German Microcensus was organized as a continuous survey with a moving reference week. In 2005 the procedures used to estimate statistical population parameters have also been modified. After the presentation of the sampling design and the recent modifications the paper shows...

A large literature studies the predictability of stock returns by other lagged nancialvariables in a predictive regression setting. A common feature of widely used testingprocedures is a failing robustness, which may lead to misleading conclusions determinedby the particular features of a small...

This paper focusses on the estimation of error components models in the presence of a correlation of the disturbances across equations and AR(1) of the remainder disturbances for panel data with endogenous unobserved effects. Additionally, the set-up allows for unequally spaced panel data and...

We examine whether consumer confidence – as a proxy for individual investor sentiment –affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recentevidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock marketreturns on average...