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Factor Models 1 Financial Crisis 1 Robust Approaches 1
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Clements, Michael P. 1
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Henley Business School, University of Reading 1
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ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance 1
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Real-Time Factor Model Forecasting and the Effects of Instability
Clements, Michael P. - Henley Business School, University of Reading - 2014
We show that factor forecasting models deliver real-time gains over autoregressive models for US real activity variables during the recent period, but are less successful for nominal variables. The gains are largely due to the Financial Crisis period, and are primarily at the shortest (one...
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