The predictability of a high-dimensional time series model in forecasting with large information sets depends not only on the stability of parameters but also depends heavily on the active covariates in the model. Since the true empirical environment can change as time goes by, the variables...

In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structural changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...

A copula model with flexibly specified dependence structure can be useful to capture the complexity and heterogeneity in economic and financial time series. However, there exists little methodological guidance for the specification process using copulas. This paper contributes to fill this gap...

In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structure changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...

In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structure changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...

This paper analyzes multifactor models in the presence of a large number of potential observable risk factors and unobservable common and group-specific pervasive factors. We show how relevant observable factors can be found from a large given set and how to determine the number of common and...