This study is motivated by a process-reengineering problem in personal computer (PC) manufacturing, i.e., to move from a build-to-stock operation that is centered around end-product inventory towards a configure-to-order (CTO) operation that eliminates endproduct inventory. In fact, CTO has made...

Marketers have long struggled with developing forecasts for new products before their launch. We focus on one data source—advance purchase orders—that has been available to retailers for many years but has rarely been tied together with postlaunch sales data. We put forth a duration model...

Food security may be increased by variance-reducing strategies, by food aid, or by development strategies. This paper uses a Korea CGE model, subjected to random fluctuation in world-prices and domestic food productivity, to evaluate these policies. We find that poverty-reducing development...

Forward and backward stochastic Lagrangian trajectory simulation methods for calculation of the mean concentration of scalars and their fluxes for sources arbitrarily distributed in space and time are constructed and justified. Generally, absorption of scalars by medium is taken into account. A...

On average, respondents who give a positive answer to a binary free choice attitude question are NOT more likely, if surveyed again, to respond positively than to response negatively. However, stronger brands obtain more repeated positive answers. Our model shows why these two effects have to...

We consider a production stage that produces a single item in a make-to-stock manner. Demand for finished goods is stationary. In each time period, an updated vector of demand forecasts over the forecast horizon becomes available for use in production decisions. We model the sequence of forecast...

This paper aims to study whether a simple asymetric adjustment costs model with heterogeneity can account for French aggregate job flows.

A standard approach to duality in stochastic optimization problems with constraints in L(infinite) relies upon the Yosida-Hewitt theorem. We develop an alternative technique which employs only "elementary" means. The technique is based on an e-regularization of the original problem and on...

We study the prospective operation of the Stability Pact by stochastic simulation. Using a forward-looking multi-country macroeconometric model, NiGEM, comprising individual blocks for 10 Euroland economies, the Pact's provisions are formalized in detail, and alternative monetary and fiscal...