A large literature on persistence finds that many modern outcomes strongly reflect characteristics of the same places in the distant past. These studies typically combine unusually high t statistics with severe spatial autocorrelation in residuals, suggesting that some findings may be artefacts...

We propose a way to compute the hedging Delta using the Malliavin weight method. Our approach, which we name the l-method, generally outperforms the standard Monte Carlo finite difference method, especially for discontinuous payoffs. Furthermore, our approach is nonparametric, as we only assume...

In this paper we study estimating ruin probability which is an important problem in insurance. Our work is developed upon the existing nonparametric estimation method for the ruin probability in the classical risk model, which employs the Fourier transform but requires smoothing on the density...

We propose an optimal-transport-based matching method to nonparametrically estimate linear models with independent latent variables. The method consists in generating pseudo-observations from the latent variables, so that the Euclidean distance between the model’s predictions and their matched...

Treatment effect estimates in regression discontinuity (RD) designs are often sensitive to the choice of bandwidth and polynomial order, the two important ingredients of widely used local regression methods. While Imbens and Kalyanaraman (2012) and Calonico, Cattaneo and Titiunik (2014) provide...

The Gini-Frisch bounds partially identify the constant slope coefficient in a linear equation when the explanatory variable suffers from classical measurement error. This paper generalizes these quintessential bounds to accommodate nonparametric heterogenous effects. It provides suitable...

This paper studies estimation of covariance matrices with conditional sparse structure. We overcome the challenge of estimating dense matrices using a factor structure, the challenge of estimating large-dimensional matrices by postulating sparsity on the covariance of the random noises, and the...