The dissertation consists of three essays. The main focus is set on semiparametric regression modeling, which embodies the strength of parametric and nonparametric regression models in terms of flexibility, dimensionality and interpretability. The first essay is “Some Recent Advances in...

Quantile regression provides a convenient framework for analyzing the impact of covariates on the complete conditional distribution of a response variable instead of only the mean. While frequentist treatments of quantile regression are typically completely nonparametric, a Bayesian formulation...

In this paper we introduce the dynamic semiparametric factor model (DSFM) for electricity forward curves. The biggest advantage of our approach is that it not only leads to smooth,seasonal forward curves extracted from exchange traded futures and forward electricity contracts, but also to a...

High-dimensional regression problems which reveal dynamic behavior are typicallyanalyzed by time propagation of a few number of factors. The inference on thewhole system is then based on the low-dimensional time series analysis. Such highdimensional problems occur frequently in many different...

The implied volatility of a European option as a function of strike price and time to maturity forms a volatility surface. Traders price according to the dynamics of this high dimensional surface. Recent developments that employ semiparametric models approximate the implied volatility surface...

SFB 649 Discussion Paper 2006-052 Forecasting the Term Structure of Variance Swaps Kai Detlefsen* Wolfgang Härdle* * Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (C.A.S.E.), School of Business and Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany This...