In this paper, transforms are used with exponential smoothing, in the quest for better forecasts. Two types of transforms are explored: those which are applied to a time series directly, and those which are applied indirectly to the prediction errors. The various transforms are tested on a large...

<Para ID="Par1">This article is divided into two parts. In the first part, we review and study the properties of single-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures that have been proposed in the literature in the context of small area estimation. We compare cross-sectional and time series...</para>

A state space mixed models for binary time series where the inverse link function is modeled to be a cumulative distribution function of the scale mixture of normal (SMN) distributions. Specific inverse links examined include the normal, Student-t, slash and the variance gamma links. The...