An explanation of the Dunning-Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artefact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the (random) boundary constraints into account. This...

We review the literature on robust Bayesian analysis as a tool for global sensitivity analysis and for statistical decision-making under ambiguity. We discuss the methods proposed in the literature, including the different ways of constructing the set of priors that are the key input of the...

Economists are often interested in estimating averages with respect to distributions of unobservables, such as moments of individual fixed-effects, or average partial effects in discrete choice models. For such quantities, we propose and study posterior average effects (PAE), where the average...

Background: The bootstrap can be alternative to cross-validation as a training/test set splitting method since it minimizes the computing time in classification problems in comparison to the tenfold cross-validation. Objectives: Тhis research investigates what proportion should be used to split...

Tax avoidance is one of the most frequent reasons for which companies tend to resort to creative accounting techniques. The purpose of the study is to identify which of the eight-variables from the Beneish influences the most or least the outcome of the final score, as a percent, by developing a...

At the request of the IMF's African Department (AFR) and the Bank of Cabo Verde (BCV), a monetary and financial statistics (MFS) remote technical assistance (TA) mission from the IMF's Statistics Department (STA) took place during January 18-29, 2021. The main objective of the mission was to...

This report evaluates Honduras's fiscal transparency practices in relation to the IMF Fiscal Transparency Code (FTC). Honduras's score is similar to those of other Latin American countries and emerging market economies that have undergone the evaluation. In relation to the fiscal transparency...