The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the truth. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We develop a generic approach that deals with parametric uncertainty using...

A common approach to estimation of dynamic economic models is to calibrate a sub-set of model parameters and keep them fixed when estimating the remaining parameters. Calibrated parameters likely affect conclusions based on the model but estimation time often makes a systematic investigation of...

Este trabajo utiliza un modelo de ciclo de vida para cuantificar el rol de la heterogeneidad en los rendimientos de las inversiones en la respuesta económica de unos cambios impositivos marginales. En este modelo, los agentes que son suficientemente productivos pueden obtener rendimientos más...

We develop a new methodology to estimate the impact of a financial transaction tax (FTT) on financial market outcomes. In our sequential trading model, there are price-elastic noise and informed traders. We estimate the model through maximum likelihood for a sample of sixty New York Stock...