This paper adresses the various methodological issues surrounding vector autoregressions, simultaneous equations, and chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that money growth is a superior indicator of the monetary...

A canonical model is described which reflects the real-time informational context of decision-making. Comparisons are drawn with ‘conventional’ models that incorrectly omit market-informed insights on future macroeconomic conditions and inappropriately incorporate information that was not...

The advantages of relational partnerships as an alternative project delivery mechanism to the traditional methods have yet to be realized by the wider construction industry. In relational partnerships, all parties work together as a cohesive team to achieve an agreed outcome. However, an...

This paper develops a structural, latent variable, model for the hidden economy in New Zealand, and a separate currency-demand model. The latent variable model is used to generate an historical time-series index of hidden economic activity, which is calibrated via the information from the...

This paper investigates whether current and future domestic and international macroeconomic variables can explain long and short run stock returns in four 'new' European countries (Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary). 'Old' western European countries (UK, France, Italy and Germany) are...