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  • Search: subject:"Subjective Probabilities"
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Year of publication
Subject
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subjective probabilities 48 Subjective probabilities 37 Probability theory 24 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 24 Decision theory 16 Decision under uncertainty 16 Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit 16 Entscheidungstheorie 16 Erwartungsnutzen 16 Expected utility 14 Risiko 14 Risk 14 Decision 13 Entscheidung 13 Experiment 13 Erwartungsbildung 12 Expectation formation 12 Theorie 12 Subjective Probabilities 11 Theory 10 Präferenztheorie 7 Risikoaversion 7 Risk aversion 7 Theory of preferences 7 Bayesianism 6 Decision under risk 6 Entscheidung unter Risiko 6 Nutzen 6 Utility 6 joint survival of couples 6 old age mortality 6 Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit 5 Rationality 5 game theory 5 occupational pensions 5 old age social security 5 rationality 5 Bildungsertrag 4 Gesetzliche Rentenversicherung 4 Mortality 4
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Online availability
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Free 50 Undetermined 38 CC license 1
Type of publication
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Article 52 Book / Working Paper 48
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 30 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 30 Working Paper 22 Graue Literatur 10 Non-commercial literature 10 Arbeitspapier 9 Article 2 Aufsatz im Buch 1 Book section 1
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Language
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English 65 Undetermined 34 French 1
Author
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Bissonnette, Luc 13 Karni, Edi 13 Hurd, Michael D. 6 Michaud, Pierre-Carl 6 Soest, Arthur van 5 Staub, Kevin E. 5 Bosetti, Valentina 4 Berger, Loic 3 Cerroni, Simone 3 Chaib, Karim 3 Gair, Jonathan R. 3 Iyer, S. 3 Iyer, Sriya 3 Kunz, Johannes 3 Ransom, Tyler 3 Rohwedder, Susann 3 Roussy, Caroline 3 Schmeidler, David 3 Velu, C. 3 Velu, Chander 3 van Soest, Arthur 3 Andersen, Steffen 2 Baharad, Eyal 2 Ben-Yashar, Ruth 2 Contini, Bruno 2 Delavande, Adeline 2 Fountain, John 2 Gilboa, Itzhak 2 Giné, Xavier 2 Giustinelli, Pamela 2 Jacoby, Hanan 2 Kettlewell, Nathan 2 Klaauw, Wilbert van der 2 Koşar, Gizem 2 Kunz, Johannes S. 2 Notaro, Sandra 2 Ridier, Aude 2 Shaw, William D. 2 Abdellaoui, Mohammed 1 Adams, Francis 1
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Institution
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Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 5 Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge 3 Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques 2 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 2 RAND 2 Becker Friedman Institute for Research in Economics, University of Chicago 1 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 1 Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain 1 Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations (CIRANO) 1 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 Département Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA) 1 European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE 1 Laboratoire Études et Recherches Économiques (SMART-LERECO), Département Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2) 1 School of Economics and Finance, University of St. Andrews 1 Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research 1 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 1
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Published in...
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IZA Discussion Papers 12 Management Science 4 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 3 Discussion paper series / IZA 3 Economic Theory 3 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 3 Theory and Decision 3 Theory and decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision science 3 Working Paper 3 Cahiers de recherche 2 Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2 Economics letters 2 IZA Journal of European Labor Studies 2 Journal of econometrics 2 Working Papers / RAND 2 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 1 Agricultural finance review 1 CEPR Discussion Papers 1 CESifo Working Paper 1 CESifo working papers 1 CIRANO Working Papers 1 CORE Discussion Papers 1 Cambridge working papers in economics 1 Cambridge-INET working papers 1 Construction Management and Economics 1 Demography 1 Discussion Paper / Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research 1 Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics 1 Discussion paper / Center for Economic Research, Tilburg University 1 Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory 1 Economics Working Papers / Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 European economic review : EER 1 European review of agricultural economics 1 Group decision and negotiation 1 Handbook of the economics of risk and uncertainty : volume 1 1 Handbook of the economics of risk and uncertainty ; Volume 1 1 IZA journal of European Labor Studies 1 International journal of risk assessment and management : IJRAM 1 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 1 Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1
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Source
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RePEc 43 ECONIS (ZBW) 42 EconStor 15
Showing 71 - 80 of 100
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Individual Survival Curves Comparing Subjective and Observed Mortality Risks
Bissonnette, Luc; Hurd, Michael D.; Michaud, Pierre-Carl - Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les … - 2014
In this paper, we compare individual survival curves constructed from objective (actual mortality) and elicited subjective information (probability of survival to a given target age). We develop a methodology to estimate jointly subjective and objective individual- survival curves accounting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093878
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Estimating subjective probabilities
Andersen, Steffen; Fountain, John; Harrison, Glenn; … - In: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 48 (2014) 3, pp. 207-229
Subjective probabilities play a central role in many economic decisions and act as an immediate confound of inferences … about behavior, unless controlled for. Several procedures to recover subjective probabilities have been proposed, but in … the joint estimation of risk attitudes and subjective probabilities can provide the calibration adjustments that theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987814
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Chapter 1. Axiomatic Foundations of Expected Utility and Subjective Probability
Karni, Edi - In: Handbook of the economics of risk and uncertainty : volume 1, (pp. 1-39). 2014
notion of choice-based subjective probabilities. It includes formal statements and discussions of the various models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025531
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Axiomatic foundations of expected utility and subjective probability
Karni, Edi - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366845
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Estimating subjective probabilities
Andersen, Steffen; Fountain, John; Harrison, Glenn W.; … - In: Journal of risk and uncertainty : JRU 48 (2014) 3, pp. 207-229
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431561
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Logic, rationality and knowledge in Ramsey's thought : reassessing "human logic"
Gaspard, Marion - In: The journal of economic methodology 21 (2014) 2, pp. 139-157
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485918
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Subjective Income and Employment Expecations and Preferences for Redistribution
Rainer, Helmut; Siedler, Thomas - School of Economics and Finance, University of St. Andrews - 2007
Using probabilistic expectations data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we establish a link between self-reported expectations of occupational mobility and individual preferences for redistribution. We do this with the intention to provide new evidence on the validity of the “prospect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673170
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Bayesian decision theory with action-dependent probabilities and risk attitudes
Karni, Edi - In: Economic Theory 53 (2013) 2, pp. 335-356
This paper extends the work of Karni (Econ Theory 48:125–146, <CitationRef CitationID="CR3">2011</CitationRef>) to allow for the possibility that decision makers’ effect-dependent risk attitudes are also affected by their actions. This extension is essential for modeling decision situations in which actions have a monetary dimension...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010993527
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Entropic kernels for data smoothing
Bowden, Roger - In: Statistics & Probability Letters 83 (2013) 3, pp. 916-922
Data smoothing or regression kernels based on locational entropy embody the principle that observations towards the extremes of the chosen data window should provide less information than those at the midpoint. Weight patterns can be flexible, depending on the choice of prior information density.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616883
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Bayesian decision theory with action-dependent probabilities and risk attitudes
Karni, Edi - In: Economic theory : official journal of the Society for … 53 (2013) 2, pp. 335-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752717
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