Search Results - subject:"Subjective Probabilities"

Karni, Edi - 2005

´ rule, of subjective probabilities representing individuals´ beliefs. The approach is preference based, and the result is an …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293444

A new approach to modeling decision-making under uncertainty and defining subjective probabilities

Karni, Edi - 2005

models are (a) general subjective expected utility theory with action-dependent subjective probabilities and effect … (b) a nonexpected utility theory involving well-defined families of action-dependent subjective probabilities on effects … of this model, with action-dependent subjective probabilities is obtained as a special case) …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293490

The future of retirement and the pension system: How the public’s expectations vary over time and across socio-economic groups

Bissonnette, Luc; Soest, Arthur van - In: IZA Journal of European Labor Studies 1 (2012) 1, pp. 1-21

We analyze expectations of the Dutch population ages 25 and older concerning future generosity of state and occupational pensions, the main pillars of the Dutch pension system. We use rotating panel data with monthly observations from 2006 until 2012 on individuals’ subjective expectations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010993732

Eliciting and estimating valid subjective probabilities: An experimental investigation of the exchangeability method

Cerroni, Simone; Notaro, Sandra; Shaw, W. Douglass - In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 84 (2012) 1, pp. 201-215

Using a laboratory experiment, we investigate whether incentive compatibility affects subjective probabilities elicited … subjects who are aware of the chaining strategically behave and provide invalid subjective probabilities, while subjects who … are not aware of the chaining state their real beliefs and provide valid subjective probabilities. The validity of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594583

Eliciting and estimating valid subjective probabilities : an experimental investigation of the exchangeability method

Cerroni, Simone; Notaro, Sandra; Shaw, William D. - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 84 (2012) 1, pp. 201-215

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009700479

The future of retirement and the pension system : how the public’s expectations vary over time and across socio-economic groups

Bissonnette, Luc; Soest, Arthur van - In: IZA journal of European Labor Studies 1 (2012), pp. 1-21

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684851

Differential Survival in Europe and the United States: Estimates Based on Subjective Probabilities of Survival

Delavande, Adeline; Rohwedder, Susann - In: Demography 48 (2011) 4, pp. 1377-1400

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010844736

A theory of Bayesian decision making with action-dependent subjective probabilities

Karni, Edi - In: Economic Theory 48 (2011) 1, pp. 125-146

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324558

Subjective Distributions

Gilboa, Itzhak; Schmeidler, David - Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University - 2001

A decision maker has to choose one of several random variables, with uncertainty known distributions. As a Bayesian she behaves as if she knew the distributions. In his paper we suggest an axiomatic derivation of these (subjective) distributions, which is much more economical than the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762855

The robustness of the optimal weighted majority rule to probability distortion

Baharad, Eyal; Ben-Yashar, Ruth - In: Public Choice 139 (2009) 1, pp. 53-59

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709202