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Surveys Stochastic volatility Bayesian econometrics 1
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Clark, Todd E. 1 Davig, Troy 1
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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 1
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Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations
Clark, Todd E.; Davig, Troy - In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (2011) 7, pp. 981-999
The level and volatility of survey-based measures of long-term inflation expectations have come down dramatically over the past several decades. To capture these changes in inflation dynamics, we embed both short- and long-term expectations into a medium-scale VAR model with stochastic...
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