In this paper we model the rate of growth of per capita output as a two-state Markov-switching process. We consider panel data sets for OECD countries, USA states and two wider samples of countries. For each sample, we attempt to characterize each regime's first and second moments, the...

In this paper, I present empirical evidence for …ve European countries (Germany, France, UK, Spain and Italy) and the Euro-zone on whether monetary policy shocks produce di¤erent e¤ects on real output growth depending on the phase of the business cycle that the economy is undergoing (the...

We introduce a model to discuss an optimal investment problem of an insurance company using a game theoretic approach. The model is general enough to include economic risk, financial risk, insurance risk, and model risk. The insurance company invests its surplus in a bond and a stock index. The...

The purpose of this monograph is to present a unified econometric framework for dealing with the issues of endogeneity in Markovswitching models and time-varying parameter models, as developed by Kim (2004, 2006, 2009), Kim and Nelson (2006), Kim et al. (2008), and Kim and Kim (2009). While...

This paper provides an empirical description of the behaviour of excess returns on UK government discount bonds interms of risk factors such as the forward premium, the slope of the term structure, dividend yields and excess stockreturns. We identify the existence of a time-varying term...

This paper focuses on the occupational mobility of temporary help agency workers by studying their job-to-job upgrading chances as opposed to those who have not been hired through these intermediaries. A screening approach to the role of those labor ‘brokers’ suggests that agency workers may...

The ability of Markov-switching (MS) autoregressive models to replicate selected classical business-cycle features found in US post-war consumption, investment and output is compared to that of linear models. Univariate MS models appear to offer more dynamically parsimonious representations, but...