The study investigates the tail-risk spillover between the markets for sukuk and conventional bonds across fifteen countries between 2016 and 2023. First, we estimate a time varying parameter-value at risk (TVP-VAR)-based frequency connectedness model to measure the total, short-, and long-term...

We propose a methodology for forecasting the systemic impact of financial institutions in interconnected systems. Utilizing a five-year sample including the 2008/9 financial crisis, we demonstrate how the approach can be used for the timely systemic risk monitoring of large European banks and...