Bond markets can plummet or rally on the back of sentiment-driven reactions which are unrelated to fundamentals. Therefore, changes in bond prices can not only be interpreted as reflecting risk but also mispricing of long-term assets. These perceived risks can often feed back into the economy by...

In this paper, we present an arithmetic short rate model based on generalized Langevin equations. The innovative feature of the model is that it accounts for memory effects in interest rate markets via the involved Langevin processes. In this setup, we provide a representation for the related...

This paper investigates the monthly out-of-sample predictability of corporate bond yield using BVAL curve values for the period April 2011 to June 2020 for three tickers of JPM, GS and IBM and a rolling time window. Multiple univariate and multivariate models using statistical and machine...

TRACE bond returns are meaningfully different from ICE bond return data used by banks, asset managers, and hedge funds. The core results of Kelly at al. (forthcoming) are robust to instead using WRDS/TRACE data

The Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF), which addressed strains in the asset-backed securities market, was an unusual crisis facility because it provided loans to a wide range of nonbank financial institutions. Using new, detailed loan-level data, we study whether institutional...

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) aims to use advancements in both computation and cryptography to tackle standard economic problems. It must, therefore, operate within the intersection of constraints required by both the computer science and economic domains. We explore a foundational question at...

In response to immense strains in the asset-backed securities market in 2008 and 2020, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury twice launched the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF). TALF was an unusual crisis facility because it provided loans to a wide range of nonbank...

Investor concerns about climate and other environmental regulatory risks suggest that these risks should affect corporate bond risk assessment and pricing. We test this hypothesis and find that firms with poor environmental profiles or high carbon footprints tend to have lower credit ratings and...

We study the recent Australian experience with yield curve control (YCC) of government bonds as perhaps the best evidence of how this policy might work in other developed economies. We interpret the evidence with a simple model in which YCC affects prices of both government and other bonds via...