We study the market-perceived monetary policy rule of the Bank of England (BoE) using financial market data and macroeconomic surprises. Leveraging exogenous variations in inflation and industrial production (IP) surprises around Office for National Statistics releases, we estimate gilt yield...

This work explores a finite liquidity model to price spread options and assess the liquidity impact. We employ Kirk approximation for computing the spread option price and its delta. The latter is needed since the liquidity impact is caused by the delta hedging of a large investor. Our main...

In this paper, we develop an equilibrium framework to explain the characteristics of volatility index (VIX) futures prices and returns across maturities. In the framework, the investors prefer VIX futures with specific maturities, and the arbitrageurs optimize portfolios based on mean-variance...

We identify a common misconception that expected future changes in short-term interest rates predict corresponding future changes in long-term interest rates. People forecast similar shapes for the paths of short and long rates over the next four quarters. This is a mistake because long rates...