This paper applies a recently developed method (Inoue and Rossi, 2021) to estimate functional inflation expectations and ex-ante real interest rate shocks, and then examines their macroeconomic effects in the context of a Functional Vector Autoregressive model with exogenous variables...

Increasing oil and food prices and persistent supply chain disruptions in 2022 contributed to inflation in advanced economies that had not been seen in decades. This pushed up interest rates, which in turn led to higher yields in global bond markets. This study examines two distinct channels...

We provide evidence on the effect of the slope of the yield curve on economic activity through bank lending. Using detailed data on banks' lending activities coupled with term premium shocks identified using high-frequency event study or instrumental variables, we show that a steeper yield curve...

Lack of investable capital has slowed down the development process in many developing nations, including Nigeria, and this has sparked empirical research on the factors affecting foreign capital flow. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of interest rate...

Interest rate dynamics are influenced by various economic factors, and central bank meetings play a crucial role concerning this subject matter. This study introduces a novel approach to modeling interest rates, focusing on the impact of central banks' scheduled interventions and their...

In this paper, a simple no-arbitrage methodology to estimate option-implied interest rates and dividend yields simultaneously via a regression model is employed. Since the mean-based least squares estimation places equal weights on all data points making it sensitive to outliers, a robust...