This paper proposes a novel bond return (price or yield curve) prediction methodology, unifying the classical no arbitrage pricing framework, which is ubiquitous and serves as the fundamental theoretical building block in mathematical finance, and empirical asset (bond) pricing methodologies,...

We study how investors in housing markets have changed after the 2009 financial crisis and the consequences for the markets and the economy. We document several new facts: (a) Institutional investors have replaced individual investors. (b) Most new investors are buy-and-hold investors as they...

In 2017 the Alternative Reference Rate Committee (ARRC) recommended the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) as the replacement for USD LIBOR as the reference rate for use in derivatives and financial contracts. Since then SOFR-linked derivatives started to develop and their liquidities have...

This paper quantifies the spillovers of US monetary policy in Emerging Market economies. By imposing sign restrictions on the high-frequency surprises of the Fed Fund Futures and the S\&P 500 I am able to identify two distinct FOMC shocks: a pure US monetary policy and an information disclosure...

Merchant energy trading companies manage conversion assets to exploit price differences across time, space, and sources of energy in the face of energy futures term structure risk. Financial hedging of this risk is standard practice. Market incompleteness, such as limited futures liquidity,...

Regulators and central banks are defining-through mathematical formulae-the market microstructure for the calculation of fixings for LIBOR interest rate swaps in terms of the relevant swap rates that reference the Risk-Free Rate that will replace a particular LIBOR post its cessation. The...

Traditionally the zero-coupon yield curve is used to construct the forward rate curve. Here we will show how to do the opposite i.e. how the forward rate curve is used to construct the zero-coupon yield curve. Actually we will determine all 1B forward rates, except m−1 end of month 1B rates,...

The information asymmetry between the borrower and the lender is a well-studied issue in the credit contracts. Various mechanisms (credit rationing, short-term debt, relationship banking, collateralization) have been discussed in the literature to reduce the asymmetry. This paper examines the...