Görtz et al. (2022) estimate the effects of innovations to future total factor productivity (TFP) on financial markets. In a Bayesian vector autoregression, they identify a TFP news shock as one that explains the largest share of 40-quarter ahead forecast error variance (FEV) of TFP. Their...

We exploit inequality restrictions on higher-order moments of the distribution of structural shocks to sharpen their identification. We show that these constraints can be treated as necessary conditions and used to shrink the set of admissible rotations. We illustrate the usefulness of this...

Given that there is exceptionally high uncertainty around the domestic inflation outlook, allowing for greater flexibility in long-term Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could be considered going forward. Against this background, this study empirically finds that a...

This paper is part of a dialogue with Blair Fix on how inflation redistributes income between creditors and workers and the way in which monetary policy affects this process. In his 2023 paper, 'Inflation! The Battle Between Creditors and Workers', Fix shows, first, that the impact of U.S....

We examine empirical association of dated sovereign security (15 year sovereign bond index) and interest rate of BRICS countries by using weekly data from 2001 to 2010. We used unit root test to check stationarity of data and it was found that one variable (bond) is stationary at level and other...

LIBOR, the predominant family of global short-term rate benchmarks for the past 40 years, ceases to exist in June 2023. Given the low volumes of interbank loans on which LIBOR had been based, the revelations that LIBOR had been manipulated, and the risks that countless LIBOR-dependent financial...

We construct a panel of global equity yields by modifying the model of Giglio et al. (2021) so it works internationally. We revisit stylized facts about equity yields, primarily based on US data, and provide several new results. On old facts, we study the dynamics of global equity yields, their...

The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) was set up in June 2010 as a temporary crisis resolution mechanism. In October 2012, its tasks were taken over by European Stability Mechanism (ESM), a permanent institution with a capital-based structure. Liquidity conditions for EFSF bonds in...