We demonstrate a modified Crank-Nicolson finite-difference diffusion algorithm for valuing option-embedded bonds using the Hull-White model of the short rate process. In particular, this method allows the practitioner to maintain model stability with relatively large values of bond tenor even...

We evaluated the ability of futures market participants’ hedging decisions to predict changes in cryptocurrency returns based on its influence on risk aversion via the risk premium channel. We document that the hedging factor has a significant effect on measures of risk aversion and financial...

We study euro-area risk-adjusted expected inflation and the inflation risk premium at different maturities, leveraging inflation swaps, inflation options and survey-based forecasts. We introduce a model that features time-varying long-term average inflation and time-varying inflation volatility...

As more and more jurisdictions transition from LIBOR-type interest rate benchmarks to new riskfree rate (RFR) benchmarks based on overnight rates, such as SOFR in the US, it is important to adapt interest rate term structure models to reflect this. In particular, overnight rates are largely...

“Buy Now, Pay Later” (BNPL) and other forms of consumer credit create a wedge between consumption and payments. We introduce this wedge into a standard consumption-based asset pricing model (CCAPM). In equilibrium, the pricing kernel equals the marginal utility of consumption divided by the...

This is an Internet Appendix with additional tables for Zhang, Zhang, and Zhao (2022, available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=3519341). The abstract of the paper is as follows:Using a dataset on syndicated loan primary market pricing adjustments, we examine whether relationship banks’...

We estimate the term structure of cash flow risk and its price of risk for the most prominent equity anomalies, at different frequencies, by directly modeling the dividend growth series instead of relying on a VAR-residual approach. We find the term structure of cash flow risk to be upward...

This study rationalizes the negative HKD-USD interest rate (HIBOR-LIBOR) differentials observed after the US interest rate hike on December 17, 2015. Why do arbitragers not eliminate the differentials until parity? We first analyse two practical concerns that are typical from the perspective of...

In this study, I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model to capture the dynamic properties of term structures of bond and equity. I extend the long-run risks model by introducing a mean-reversion of dividend growth and external habit formation of a representative agent. The...

Does the yield curve’s ability to predict future output and recessions differ when interest rates and inflation are low, as was recently the case? We explore the issue using historical data going back to the 19th century for the US. This paper is similar in spirit to Ramey and Zubairy (2018),...