This paper presents an audit' of the multistage application and appeal process that the U.S. Social Security Administration (SSA) uses to determine eligibility for disability benefits from the Disability Insurance (DI) and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) programs. We study a subset of...

The idea that consideration of error costs should inform judgments about actions with uncertain consequences is well established. When we act on imperfect information, we consider not only the probability of an event, but also the expected costs of making an error. In 1984 Frank Easterbrook used...

This paper examines the properties and prevalence of measurement error in longitudinal earnings data. The analysis compares Current Population Survey data to administrative Social Security payroll tax records for a sample of heads of households over two years. In contrast. to the typically...

In this paper we derive the standard error of a price index when both prices and tastes or technology are treated as stochastic. Changing tastes or technology are a reason for the weights in the price index to be treated as stochastic, which can interact with the stochastic prices themselves. We...

This paper develops a method to correct for non-random measurement error in a binary indicator of illicit drugs. Our results suggest that estimates of the effect of self reported prenatal drug use on birth weight are biased upwards by measurement error -- a finding contrary to predictions of a...

When otherwise intelligent investors fail to correct an error, a researcher learns something about what these investors did not know. The investors must not have known about anything which would have allowed them to spot their mistake. If they had, they would have stopped making it.I show how a...

Discussion of the GEKS method is spreading in Europe and globally. Many NSO’s are already testing the GEKS and other multilateral methods or are aiming to test these newly proposed methods. But what about the documentation that clarifies how to implement new method to the calculation of the...

Differences between chain and base methods (or strategies) are analyzed. This is a preliminary paper that concentrates on numerical results and new ideas. Omitted proofs will appear in later papers. As in title, we use the term circular or chain error. We do not use milder terms as drift or...

In this study, we examine statistically the dependence between Seasonal Variation of consumed values and the ChainErrors of corresponding excellent indices in different subgroups Ak. First, cyclic seasonal variation of values is calculated by simple regression analysis and the ChainError is...

The estimator holding the central place in the theory of the multivariate "errors-in-the-variables" (EV) model results from performing orthogonal recession on variables rescaled according to the covariance matrix of the errors [7]. Our first principal finding, via Monte Carlo on the univariate...