This paper studies the dynamics of land-use in the Brazilian Amazon using a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. A fixed effect panel data specification is used to control for the heterogeneity in the data. Meanwhile, spatial autocorrelation is also diagnosed by a statistical...

Cheung et al. (2004) use a vector error correction model (VECM) for the current float nominal exchange rate and relative price data and claim that the sluggish purchasing power parity (PPP) reversion is primarily driven by the nominal exchange rate, not by relative price adjustment, which is at...

Using a generalized vector autoregressive framework in which forecast-error variance decompositions are invariant to the variable ordering, we propose measures of both the total and directional volatility spillovers. We use our methods to characterize daily volatility spillovers across US stock,...

We analyze the pitfalls involved in VAR based return decompositions. First, we show that recent criticism of such decompositions is misplaced and builds on invalid VAR models and erroneous interpretations. Second, we derive the requirements needed for VAR decompositions to be valid. A crucial...

This study compares the valuation of REITs and non-REITs, using firm-level return and accounting data of 168 REITs and 3,215 industrial companies and the methodology of Vuolteenaho (2002) that separates variances driven by cash flow news and expected return news. The evidence shows that,...

This paper examines return co-movements and volatility spillovers between major exchange rates before and after the introduction of euro. Dynamic correlations and VAR-based spillover index results suggest significant return co-movements and volatility spillovers, however, their extend is, on...

In addition to containing stable information to explain inflation, state-local expenditures also have a larger share of the forecast error variance of US inflation than the federal funds rate. Non-defense federal expenditures are useful in predicting real output variations and, starting from the...