This study investigates asymmetric mean reversion in the real returns of large- and small-cap US stocks for one- to ten-year periods. The return distributions are estimated with 1,000 random block bootstraps of 240-month returns from 1926-2017. Large-cap stock returns show significant asymmetric...

This paper assesses the predictable component of South East Asian stock markets using a bootstrap resampling method to estimate the small sample distributions of variance ratio statistics. We find evidence of mean reversion in long horizon dollar adjusted excess returns. The robustness of the...

Using historical data on inflation-adjusted total equity returns (price change plus dividend) from the S&P 500 from 1926 to 2017, this paper develops a simulation-based model to determine the safe, inflation-adjusted withdrawal rate from a portfolio of assets. The model, named the Realistic...