Following the exisiting literature, we present the most up-to-date estimates of oil shocks and the response of the U.S. economy. Regardless of model specifications, oil supply shocks have a negative effect on the U.S. real GDP, albeit the magnitude of responses is different across models....

We estimate the impact of changes in non-performing loan (NPL) ratios on aggregate banking sector variables and the macroeconomy by estimating a panel Bayesian VAR model for twelve euro area countries. The main findings are as follows: i) An impulse response analysis shows that an exogenous...

This paper applies a Qual VAR approach to generate a continuous banking crisis indicator from an underlying latent variable using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Four decades of banking crises are assessed by accounting for the evolutionary nature of precursors, as measured through...

This study analyzes systemic risk contagion across the euro area by employing the Diebold-Yilmaz and the frequency connectedness methodologies with data from January 1, 1999, to January 25, 2021. We use the daily Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress (CISS) series for 11 countries in the euro...

This paper investigates the relationship between trading volume and market returns in the Saudi stock market. Daily data of number of shares traded and TASI returns from 2010 till mid-2021 are used for the same. The Granger causality test reveals a unidirectional relationship from returns to...

The paper uses a global vector autoregression model with quarterly time series data from 1994 to 2016 to investigate the spillover effects of Chinese trade and growth shocks on 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries. Time varying trade weights are used to construct the foreign...