Purpose. We address the problem of forecasting USD/CHF volatility at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis. We chose popular currencies (Swiss franc and American dollar) in the period 1.07.2020 to 31.12.2020. Design/methodology/approach. We employed several volatility models, including APARCH,...

Die Fähigkeit Volatilität präzise vorherzusagen, ist von zentraler Bedeutung für das Risikomanagement in Banken und für das Treffen fundierter Anlageentscheidungen. In diesem Beitrag wird der Einsatz von Deep-Learning-Methoden − speziell des Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-Netzwerkes −...

We extend recurrent neural networks to include several flexible timescales for each dimension of their output, which mechanically improves their abilities to account for processes with long memory or highly disparate timescales. We compare the ability of vanilla and extended long short-term...