Since the 2000s, large fluctuations in commodity prices have become a concern among policymakers regarding price stability. This paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on headline inflation with a monthly panel consisting of 144 countries. We find that the effects of commodity...

This paper comprehensively discusses the dynamic relationship between commodities and commodity currencies, particularly during the U.S. quantitative easing (QEs), by integrating the generalized spillover index into a fractionally integrated VAR (FIVAR) model. Our empirical analyses reach the...

In this paper we propose a new indicator of monthly global real economic activity, named world steel production. We use world steel production, OECD industrial production index and Kilian's rea index to forecast world real GDP, and key commodity prices. We find that world steel production...

Well established and efficient agricultural commodity futures markets, are expected to perform the role of price discovery and risk management more effectively. The results of the Johansen's cointegration tests have shown that the spot and futures markets for the 12 agricultural commodities are...

Although prices in the agricultural commodity futures markets have risen significantly in recent years, the results of this study support those of many previous studies that concluded that investments of commodity index traders and speculators in the futures markets are not the major causes of...

We assess the link between fiscal policy and credit and commodity price booms and busts. We do so by investigating the impact of financial and commodity price cycles on the identification of episodes of fiscal consolidation and stimulus and the size of the fiscal impulse. We find that...

This paper investigates the time-varying dynamics of global stock volatility, commodity prices, and domestic output and consumer prices. The main empirical findings of this papers are: (i) stock volatility and commodity price shocks impact each other and the economy in a gradual and endogenous...

This paper investigates the time-varying dynamics of global stock volatility, commodity prices, and domestic output and consumer prices. The main empirical findings of this paper are: (i) stock volatility and commodity price shocks impact each other and the economy in a gradual and endogenous...