The study examines the uncertainty connectedness between oil and a bouquet of commodities. We construct a news-based index that measures commodity-specific uncertainty at a weekly frequency from January 2000 to May 2021. We examine the uncertainty network between oil and commodities using the...

This paper examines quantile coherency in bonds, commodities, currencies, and equities usinga novel quantile coherency approach. While recent literature has explored single-frequencytail - and time-frequency dependence in asset returns, we provide fresh evidence on asset returndependence across...

This study investigates whether the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects primary commodity prices over time. We employ a wavelet approach that allows us to disentangle the time and frequency domains and to uncover time-varying nonlinear relationships at different frequency levels....

Commodity prices are extremely volatile, and volatility itself fluctuates overtime. This volatility has consequences for both the global economy and commoditymarkets themselves. Using data from 1959 to 2021, we estimate a3-state Markov-switching model to identify expansions and contractions in...

This paper aims to study the correlation structure, key commodity and cluster characteristics of China's commodity markets during the period of the 2020-2021 global commodity price boom via applying Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) of commodity futures price indices to obtain high-frequency...

Global economic activity is surrounded by increasing uncertainties from various sources. In this paper, we focus on commodity prices and estimate a global commodity uncertainty factor by capturing comovement in volatilities of major agricultural, metals and energy commodity markets through a...

Like copper, corn, or crude oil, companies increasingly trade like commodities. Some investors — certain holders of debt, activist shareholders, and controlling shareholders, especially private equity funds — are focused solely on returns. In practice, this means that they care about the...

Declining commodity prices during mid-2014-2016 posed significant challenges to commodity-exporting economies. The severe terms of trade shock associated with a sharp fall in world commodity prices have raised anew questions about the viability of pegged exchange rate regimes. More recently, the...

This paper focuses on identifying potential asymmetric responses of non-commodity output growth in times of positive and negative commodity terms-of-trade shocks. Using a sample of 27 oil-exporting countries and a panel VAR method, the study finds: 1) the short-and medium-run response of real...

We consider both theoretically and empirically the effect of unemployment insurance (UI) on precautionary savings behavior. Simulations of a stochastic life cycle model suggest that increasing the generosity of UI will substantially lower the asset holdings of the median worker, and that this...