The National Food Security Act (NFSA) 2013 combines and expands the scope of some existing food-based welfare schemes. It will be distributing raw rations, meal(s) and/or cash. Approximately 81.35 crore persons or 16.57 crore households are to benefit under the targeted public distribution...

This paper embeds a staggered price feature into the standard speculative storage model of Deaton and Laroque (1996). Intermediate goods inventory speculators are added as an additional source of intertemporal linkage, which helps us to replicate the stylized facts of the observed commodity...

China's rapid growth over the past decade has been one of the main drivers of the rise in mineral commodity demand and prices. At a time when concerns about the sustainability of China's growth model are rising, this paper assesses to what extent a hard landing in China would impact other...

This report provides an analysis of the financilization process on the commodity market. Methods of analysis include linear regression between prices and amount invested for each commodity using the CFTC Swap Dealer Report, own simulations on portfolios composed of commodities, values at risk,...

The recent collapse in international commodity prices has both positive and negative implications for Asia-Pacific economies, depending upon net commodity-trade positions. This paper focuses the impacts to net commodity-importing economies of Asia and the Pacific. It highlights that in addition...

This note identifies Asia-Pacific LDCs and LLDCs with export-portfolios and economies which are at greatest risk from the recent collapse in commodity prices (June 2014 to January 2015). The primary objective is to identify countries whose exports have been highly vulnerable to the recent...

I study how children affect the marginal utility of non-durable consumption. I estimate by Maximum Likelihood a structural economic model of optimal intertemporal allocation of consumption in the presence of children using high quality Danish administrative longitudinal data. Contrary to...

Market participants have an obligation to periodically explain the economic role of futures trading and the role of speculators in these markets. This will be the main task of this paper. In addition, this paper will discuss two other challenges in the commodity markets: the impact of the Risk...

This paper develops a closed-form model for options on commodities under the assumptions of mean-reversion in the commodity prices and regime-switching in the commodity returns volatility. After a closed-form solution for the option value in constant regimes has been developed, the model is...

Commodity exporter economies usually suffer when a boom in commodity prices ends, especially if the cycle ends abruptly. Furthermore, recent literature has highlighted the role of financial instability as either causing or aggravating financial and real crises. In this paper we look at these two...