In this paper, we give a broad overview of how commodity-related news affects several aspects of commodity markets. We examine the main commodity classes: energy, agriculturals and metals, as well as market responses to news: in terms of prices, returns, volatilities and fine features of prices,...

In this paper we introduce a new two-factor commodity term structure model for which inventories serve as a second state variable. We derive a closed-form formula for futures prices and empirically analyze the model's properties. Besides being economically appealing, our model also outperforms...

Using futures data for the period 1990–2008, this paper finds evidence that expansionary monetary policy surprises tend to increase crude and heating oil prices, and contractionary monetary policy shocks increase gold and platinum prices. Our analysis uncovers substantial heterogeneity in the...

This paper tests the hypothesis of ‘commodity currency' on the nuevo sol and, more generally, identifies the drivers of Peru's equilibrium real exchange rate using a cointegration analysis. The results show that export commodity prices do not have a statistically significant impact on Peru's...

We provide evidence that a simple moving average timing strategy, when applied to portfolios of commodity futures, can generate superior performance to the buy-and-hold strategy. The outperformance is very robust. It can survive the transaction costs in the futures markets, it is not...

Recent empirical studies find evidence that commodity prices have become more correlated with financial markets since the early 2000s. This increased correlation is called the financialization of commodity markets and is conjectured to be due to the influx of external (portfolio optimizing)...

This paper re-examines precautionary saving with general Selden/Kreps-Porteus preferences. The conditions existing in the literature are much more complex than in the Expected Utility framework. We obtain a simple and intuitive result on precautionary savings via disentangling time preference...

This paper shows that commodity-sensitive stock price indices have strong power in predicting nominal and real commodity prices at short horizons (one-month-ahead predictions) using both in- and out-of-sample tests. The forecasts based on commodity-sensitive stock price indices are able to...

This paper contributes to the theories commodity prices and exhaustible resources by examining simultaneous optimal resource extraction and dynamic capacity building. I analyze the ways in which random demand process and irreversible capacity options shape the long-term price and volatility path...

This paper studies how commodity price movements have affected the local house prices in commodity-dependent economies, Australia and New Zealand. We build a geographically hierarchical empirical model and find the commodity prices influence local house prices directly and also indirectly...