A feature of modern globalization processes is their vulnerability to the volatility of short-term capital flows, which, combined with the growing volatility of commodity prices, have created serious difficulties for the economic policies of commodity-oriented countries. Therefore, the study of...

This paper investigates empirically the role of the commodity price super cycle in explaining real activity in developed and emerging economies. The commodity price super cycle is defined as a common permanent component in real commodity prices. Estimates using quarterly and annual data from...

This paper examines the connectedness between Bitcoin and commodity volatilities, including oil, wheat, and corn, during the period Oct. 2013-Jun. 2018, using time- and frequency-domain frameworks. The time-domain framework's results show that the connectedness is 23.49%, indicating a low level...

We examine the macro implications of commodity price shocks in a general equilibrium model with input-output linkages for a commodity-exporting small open economy. In the model, fluctuations in commodity price affect aggregate output not only through resource reallocation, currency value changes...

Agricultural commodity markets in developing countries are characterized by high transaction costs and risks that reduce trade flows among spatial markets. We examine whether institutionalized agricultural commodity exchange markets reduce transaction costs and hence spatial price dispersion...

We apply variance analysis for studying the risk-sharing mechanism in distribution channels, in which the risk-averse buyer and supplier are suffered from commodity price shocks. We obtain the closed-form optimal pass-through rate that minimizes the total channel risk and maximizes the channel...

This paper explores the extent to which commodity prices can predict GDP growth rates of various countries using indices of 27 commonly traded commodity futures. Commodity returns can strongly predict the next quarter's GDP growth, while the basis shows a reasonable level of predictive power....