Wei, Wei; Held, Leonhard - In: TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of … 23 (2014) 4, pp. 787-805
Calibration, the statistical consistency of forecast distributions and observations, is a central requirement for … probabilistic predictions. Calibration of continuous forecasts has been widely discussed, and significance tests are commonly used … to detect whether a prediction model is miscalibrated. However, calibration tests for discrete forecasts are rare …