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  • Search: subject:"causal forces"
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Year of publication
Subject
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causal forces 3 damped trends 3 Case study 2 Irresistible causal forces 2 Knowledgeability 2 Strategic investment decision-making 2 Strong structuration theory 2 accuracy 2 contrary series 2 decomposition 2 exponential smoothing 2 extrapolation 2 inconsistent trends 2 judgment 2 Business 1 Decision 1 Delphi 1 Entscheidung 1 Investitionsentscheidung 1 Investment decision 1 Position-practice relation 1 Position–practice relation 1 Strategic management 1 Strategisches Management 1 Theorie 1 Theory 1 analytics 1 bias 1 big data 1 causal models 1 combining 1 combining contrary trends 1 combining forecasts 1 complexity 1 consistent trends 1 cycles 1 decay forces 1 decision-making 1 discontinuities 1 ethics 1
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Online availability
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Free 5 CC license 1
Type of publication
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Article 2 Other 2 Book / Working Paper 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 1 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1 research-article 1
Language
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Undetermined 3 English 2
Author
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Armstrong, J. Scott 3 Collopy, Fred 2 Elmassri, Moataz 2 Harris, Elaine 2 Huikku, Jari 2 Northcott, Deryl 2 Adya, Monica 1 Graefe, Andreas 1 Green, Kesten C. 1
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Institution
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Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 1
Published in...
All
Journal of Accounting & Organizational Change 1 Journal of accounting & organizational change : JAOC 1 MPRA Paper 1
Source
All
BASE 2 ECONIS (ZBW) 1 RePEc 1 Other ZBW resources 1
Showing 1 - 5 of 5
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Agents' context-specific conduct in making strategic investment decisions
Huikku, Jari; Harris, Elaine; Elmassri, Moataz; … - In: Journal of accounting & organizational change : JAOC 20 (2024) 6, pp. 27-55
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197600
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Agents’ context-specific conduct in making strategic investment decisions
Huikku, Jari; Harris, Elaine; Elmassri, Moataz; … - In: Journal of Accounting & Organizational Change 20 (2024) 6, pp. 27-55
and irresistible causal forces in this conduct. Design/methodology/approach The authors examine SID-making (SIDM … irresistible causal forces and illuminating why actors might not resist in SIDM processes, despite having the potential to do so. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015348886
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Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative
Armstrong, J. Scott; Green, Kesten C.; Graefe, Andreas - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2014
This paper proposes a unifying theory of forecasting in the form of a Golden Rule of Forecasting. The Golden Rule is to be conservative. A conservative forecast is consistent with cumulative knowledge about the present and the past. To be conservative, forecasters must seek all knowledge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257908
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Rule-Based Forecasting: Using domain knowledge in time series extrapolation
Armstrong, J. Scott; Adya, Monica; Collopy, Fred - 2001
managers= expectations about trends, which we call ?causal forces.? Time series are described in terms of 28 conditions, which … procedures. In a series of studies, rules based on causal forces improved the selection of forecasting methods, the structuring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009484509
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Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time Series Extrapolation
Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred - 1993
express causal impacts upon trends: growth, decay, supporting, opposing, and regressing. An identification of causal forces … by this analysis was: "Do not extrapolate trends if they are contrary to causal forces." We tested this rule by comparing … accuracy when tested on 104 annual economic and demographic time series. Gains in accuracy were greatest when (1) the causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438501
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