A unified theory of estimation and inference is developed for an autoregressive process with root in (-∞, ∞) that includes the stationary, local-to-unity, explosive and all intermediate regions. The discontinuity of the limit distribution of the t-statistic outside the stationary region and...

Present econometric methodology of inference in cointegrating regression is extended to mildly integrated time series of the type introduced by Magdalinos and Phillips (2007, 2009). It is well known that conventional approaches to estimating cointegrat- ing regressions fail to produce even...

An asymptotic theory is given for autoregressive time series with weakly dependent innovations and a root of the form rho_{n} = 1+c/n^{alpha}, involving moderate deviations from unity when alpha in (0,1) and c in R are constant parameters. The limit theory combines a functional law to a...

An asymptotic theory is given for autoregressive time series with a root of the form rho_{n} = 1+c/n^{alpha}, which represents moderate deviations from unity when alpha in (0,1). The limit theory is obtained using a combination of a functional law to a diffusion on D[0,infinity) and a central...