Search Results - subject:"cohort component model"

German churches in times of demographic change and declining affiliation: A projection to 2060

Gutmann, David; Peters, Fabian - In: Comparative Population Studies (CPoS) 45 (2020), pp. 3-34

potential impact if present trends continue. To answer these questions, we use a cohort component model and project the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189898

Évaluer les prévisions probabilistes de population

Keilman, Nico - In: Economie et statistique 520/521 (2020), pp. 49-64

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234027

German churches in times of demographic change and declining affiliation : a projection to 2060

Gutmann, David; Peters, Fabian - In: Comparative population studies : CPoS ; open acess … 45 (2020), pp. 3-34

potential impact if present trends continue. To answer these questions, we use a cohort component model and project the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171375

Estimates of Age-Specific Reductions in HIV Prevalence in Uganda: Bayesian Melding Estimation and Probabilistic Population Forecast with an HIV-enabled Cohort Component Projection Model

Clark, Samuel J.; Thomas, Jason; Bao, Le - In: Demographic Research 27 (2012) 26, pp. 743-774

produced using an HIV-enabled cohort component model of population projection first proposed by \citet{heuveline-dem-2003}. We …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711738

The sensitivity of the Scaled Model of Error with respect to the choice of the correlation parameters: A simulation study

Graziani, Rebecca; Keilman, Nico - 2010

The Scaled Model of Error has gained considerable popularity during the past ten years as a device for computing probabilistic population forecasts of the cohort-component type. In this report we investigate how sensitive probabilistic population forecasts produced by means of the Scaled Model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285585

A Stochastic Sub-national Population Projection Methodology with an Application to the Waikato Region of New Zealand

Cameron, Michael P.; Poot, Jacques - Department of Economics, Waikato Management School - 2010

In this paper we use a stochastic population projection methodology at the sub-national level as an alternative to the conventional deterministic cohort-component method. We briefly evaluate the accuracy of previous deterministic projections and find that there is a tendency for these to be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552403

The sensitivity of the Scaled Model of Error with respect to the choice of the correlation parameters: A Simulation Study

Graziani, Rebecca; Keilman, Nico - Økonomisk institutt, Universitetet i Oslo - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800756

End-user Informed Demographic Projections for Hamilton up to 2041

Cameron, M.; Cochrane, W.; Poot, J. - Department of Economics, Waikato Management School - 2008

projections have been calculated by means of the cohort component model. The projections can be considered alongside official …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196088