This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for commodity-exporting countries. The introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances domestic welfare through two channels. First, by reducing export...

Using the longest dataset publicly available (The Economist's index of industrial commodity prices), we analyze the behavior of real commodity prices over the period 1862-99, and have two main findings. First, while there has been a downward trend in real commodity prices of 1.3 percent per year...

A simple model of North-South interaction is presented with a Keynesian North producing industrial goods and a Classical South producing corn. If the terms of trade clear the corn market then commodity price stabilisation can only slightly increase the average value of Northern real consumption....